BREAKDOWN OF THE WEEK'S LIES by Mikhail Azhgirevich, October 5–10, 2026
"A Technical-Level Meeting": How Talks About Talks Became the Main Weapon of the Autumn
Over the week of October 5–10, the map did not move, but the diplomatic calendar has grown to the size of a suburban commuter-train timetable: Kyiv is ready, Washington offers, Moscow "does not rule it out." The only thing missing is the train itself.
The fact. Zelensky said that the American team is proposing a trilateral meeting at the technical level before the end of October. Witkoff and Kushner are meeting the Ukrainians in Miami on October 9, and they may travel to Moscow later. At
Market Review by Mikhail Azhgirevich: October 1–7
US and Europe: Bonds Dictate, Stocks Obey
On October 1, the S&P 500 rose 0.2% to 7,666, the Dow held at 50,926, and the Nasdaq barely moved. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries first hit a 24-year high, then pulled back. In Europe the picture is harsher: London lost 1.7%, Paris 1.6%, and Frankfurt 1%. The conclusion: elites fear not a specific war, but the price of money. Europe, where the debt market is more fragile, pays for it first.
Oil: The $100 Line Holds
Brent settled above $100 and ended the week at $102.25, with WTI at about $91.10
Geopolitical Digest by Mikhail Azhgirevich, September 30, 2026
Russia strikes Kyiv with ballistic missiles for the second time in a row
The attack, which used Zircon/Onyx missiles, Iskanders and 188 drones, mostly hit energy infrastructure in the Kyiv region. Strikes on the power grid a month before winter are clearly systematic.
US–Iran talks mediated by Qatar reach a deadlock
According to Axios, the parties are unwilling to make concessions on a compromise plan that would lift the blockade in exchange for limits on Iran's nuclear program. Trump may resume strikes after the November congressional elections. The diplomatic window has narrowed sharply amid mutual ultimatums.
Iran attacks four vessels
Weekly Lie Review from Mikhail Azhgirevich: September 21-25, 2026
US-Ukraine: "A Very Good Meeting" — How 40 Minutes in New York Were Sold as a Breakthrough That Never Happened
The week of September 21-25, 2026 gave the world the most talked-about forty minutes of the year: the Trump-Zelensky talks on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. Headlines exploded with words like "breakthrough" and "hope before winter." The actual outcome of the meeting can be summed up in a single sentence — and that should alarm people far more than it should cheer them.
The fact — what happened. On September 22, at UN headquarters, Trump and Zelensky held
Geopolitical Digest by Mikhail Azhgirevich, September 23, 2026
Peskov Invites Zelensky to Moscow for Talks Under Full Security Guarantees
The invitation came immediately after Kyiv's statement of readiness for a ceasefire, with the Kremlin setting out conditions for holding the summit. The Moscow format looks less like a genuine proposal and more like a test of Kyiv's actual willingness to negotiate.
Ukraine and 51 UN Member States Declare Support for a Full and Unconditional Ceasefire
A joint statement by Sybiha and Kallas at the UN General Assembly called on Russia to do the same, without specifying any mechanism for monitoring the truce. Broad diplomatic backing does not change
China News: September 21–23, 2026
Xi Heads to Washington
Xi Jinping began a three-day state visit to the United States on September 23, at the invitation of President Trump, with the main talks scheduled for September 24 at the White House. This marks his first trip to Washington in 11 years. According to the Wall Street Journal, Beijing and Washington spent several weeks disputing the format of the trip, and in the end the White House backed down, agreeing to a visit with maximum diplomatic honors rather than a working meeting.
Here is how I see it: the fact that Beijing pushed through its preferred
US News, September 21–23, 2026
Trump Defends Strikes on Iran and Venezuela from the UN Podium
On September 22, Trump addressed the UN General Assembly, calling Iran the "number one state sponsor of terrorism" and stating that Washington now faces a choice: reach a deal with Tehran or take "much tougher steps." Separately, he confirmed the military operation in Venezuela that led to the arrest of Nicolás Maduro, and announced a major oil agreement with the new Venezuelan leadership. Trump openly acknowledges that revenues from Venezuelan oil have already "paid back many times over" the cost of the military operation — geopolitics is turning into
Geopolitical Digest by Mikhail Azhgirevich for September 22, 2026
US–Ukraine: Trump and Zelensky Meet in New York
Trump and Zelensky held a meeting in New York. The talks lasted 40 minutes and involved Rubio, Kushner, and Witkoff. Zelensky expressed hope of ending the war before winter, while Trump proposed a new meeting with Putin following the summit in Alaska. The public portion of the talks was limited to a symbolic 40 seconds for the Ukrainian president.
EU–Russia: Personal Sanctions Extended for Three Years
For the first time, the EU has extended personal sanctions against Russia for a full three years. The decision affects nearly 3,000 individuals and companies, with
Market Review by Mikhail Azhgirevich: September 21–22, Markets Buy Hope for a Trump-Iran Meeting at the UN
US: Nasdaq Hits a Record Because Trump Is Heading to New York
On September 21, the Nasdaq surged 2.3% to a record close of 27,122, the S&P 500 gained 1.5%, coming within 0.4% of its all-time high, and the Dow rose 0.7% - all against a backdrop of retreating oil prices and bond yields, which had weighed on the market throughout the previous week following the Fed's first rate hike in three years. The direct takeaway: the elites are not buying a fact of peace, but the mere possibility that Trump will meet his Iranian counterpart at the UN General
Geopolitical Digest by Mikhail Azhgirevich, September 16, 2026
North Korea threatens US and South Korea with nuclear strike. Pyongyang's Ministry of National Defense declared its readiness to invoke the law on nuclear forces in response to the September 10 agreement between Washington and Seoul to intensify joint exercises against weapons of mass destruction. North Korea's nuclear rhetoric is becoming increasingly formalized and legally grounded.
Russian Foreign Ministry threatens Japan with retaliatory measures over Orient Shield exercises. Moscow considers the joint exercises of Japan, the United States, and Australia on Hokkaido, held September 8–24, along with the deployment of Typhon missile systems near Russian borders, to be a threat

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