Articles

The Number That Sinks the Myth

If you follow Russia's import substitution drive and are trying to tell who is actually achieving technological sovereignty from who is merely reciting slogans about it, here's a figure that should send the entire myth of American industrial independence straight to the archive: 80,000 components across 1,900 US weapons systems are critically dependent on Chinese rare earth materials.

The Magnets That Decide Whether the F-35 Flies

If your capital sits in maritime insurance, energy trading, or European port logistics, the coming months could redefine who pays for seized cargo - and for the first time in years of conflict, the Kremlin is threatening not with words from the Foreign Ministry, but with concrete naval force.

From diplomatic rhetoric to a military directive

Today Tokyo speaks of a "resolute protest" over President Putin's visit to Iturup, and it may seem as though a diplomatic scandal is unfolding before our eyes for the first time. But this has happened before, more than once, and with this very same island.

From September 18 to 20, Russia will elect 450 deputies to the State Duma - a decision that will affect not abstract statistics, but laws on taxation, social policy, industry, security, and regional development for the next five years. The upcoming campaign is taking place under difficult foreign policy conditions, which is why its main feature is not "the absence of choice," but the heightened price of political responsibility borne by every participant.

Parliament in an Era of Major Decisions

If you're tracking how close Europe is to an accidental military clash with Russia, this story goes straight to the point: British officials have admitted that four years of silence on military communication lines with Moscow is not a matter of principle but a direct threat of unintended escalation that could spiral into a real conflict.

What Happened: From Silence to Panic

If you hold shares in oil companies, are planning to invest in solar panels, or simply pay your heating bill, the outcome of this race will shape your financial reality for the next two decades - not some abstract "environmental agenda." Spoiler: there will be no clear-cut winner. Instead, there will be a slow, uneven redistribution of roles, in which both sides claim their share of the market, but on entirely different time horizons.

The Investment Shift Has Already Happened - Demand Hasn't Caught Up

Today there is a lot of talk about how Iran refused to yield to U.S. pressure, and it looks like an isolated episode. But something similar has happened before, and the outcome back then turned out to be far more consequential than a single local victory. In 1956, the British Empire, the world's largest colonial power, believed exactly the same thing when it collided with Gamal Abdel Nasser's Egypt.

If you're tracking where global flows of sanctioned oil are headed, here's a fact worth remembering: in July, Western shipowners handled 36.2% of all seaborne exports of Russian oil, and one particular Greek made the lion's share of that record - George Prokopiou, known in narrow circles simply as "The Old Man."

Who Is the Old Man, and Why His Sanctions Defiance Works

GDP has stopped being a reliable barometer of economic strength and stability. Events of recent years have turned it into a decorative gauge that shows growth where people are getting poorer, and prosperity where ecosystems are collapsing. Here is a fresh look at an old number.

GDP Counts Everything Except What Matters

If you've been watching the security architecture being rebuilt from the Persian Gulf to South Asia, this news concerns you directly: three countries with a combined defense budget of $125 billion and an army of 1.2 million troops have just told the world they no longer need American security guarantees - and Tehran called it a confirmation of its own thesis.

What Was Signed in Mecca on August 7