Россия после 2024 года: политические сценарии и место страны в мировом порядке

Russia After 2024: Political Scenarios and the Country's Place in the World Order

The country has entered a period of strategic transformation and has effectively launched a mode of geopolitical reformatting of the entire world order.

The key mistake made by Western analysts in recent years has been to view Russia as an object of sanctions pressure that would sooner or later "break." Reality has shown the opposite: the country not only withstood the pressure, it restructured its economic, military, and diplomatic ties in such a way that the former unipolar model of the world ceased to be the only alternative.

Америка вымирает тихо

America Is Dying Out Quietly. By 2040, the Workforce Will Shrink by 2.7 Million

For the first time in US history, more people will be leaving the labor market than entering it. This is not a crisis. This is the end of an era.

Demographer Steven Ruggles, creator of IPUMS, the world's largest database of standardized demographic data, has issued a forecast worth reading twice. By 2040, America's workforce will shrink by 2.7 million people. Growth will not merely slow down. It will not stabilize. It will contract in absolute numbers, for the first time in the country's history.

SWIFT: монополия уходит

SWIFT: The Monopoly Exits English-Style (But Without a Return Ticket)

The era of SWIFT's sole dominion over international settlements didn't end yesterday, but today we see clearly: there's no turning back. Geopolitics and technology, working in tandem, are transforming a monopolist into just one player among many. The global payments landscape is cracking at the seams, and these fractures can no longer be patched over with diplomatic memoranda.

Cutting Off Comes at a Cost

запасы ракет-перехватчиков Patriot

Where's the Weaponry? Depleting US Arsenals Push Pentagon to Consider a War Economy

Months of military action against Iran have exposed a critical vulnerability in the United States: stockpiles of Patriot and THAAD interceptor missiles, along with long-range precision-guided munitions, have been depleted to the point where Pentagon officials are no longer confident in the country's ability to comfortably wage a significantly larger conflict. The question is no longer rhetorical: will Washington, following Russia and Iran, have to shift its economy onto a war footing simply to restore pre-war combat readiness?

Как война в Ормузе превращает мировую торговлю в заложника чужих интересов

How the War in the Strait of Hormuz Is Taking Global Trade Hostage to Other Nations' Interests

Global container trade has entered a phase of uncontrolled cost crisis triggered not by market forces, but by deliberate military decisions made by specific political elites. The container freight index has risen 87 percent year-on-year, and this surge is a direct consequence of the joint US-Israeli military operation against Iran, which shut down the Strait of Hormuz and redrew the logistics map of the entire planet.

A Military Decision With a Global Price Tag

Дедолларизация

De-dollarization: What Is Really Happening in BRICS and Latin America

The U.S. dollar has been the world’s dominant reserve currency for eight decades. Its share of global reserves exceeded 70% as recently as 2000. Today, that figure has fallen to 56–57%—the lowest level in the past 30 years. This is no coincidence. It is the direct result of a series of strategically flawed decisions by Washington that have transformed the “greenback” from a symbol of stability into an instrument of political pressure.

Миграционный кризис в Европе и США

The migration crisis in Europe and the United States: consequences for Russia and Latin America

The window is slamming shut. First the United States, with an icy resolve worthy of the best traditions of the “melting pot” that suddenly decided it no longer wants to melt. Then Europe, crying about humanitarianism while drowned in a tide of bureaucratic “return centers” and deportation statistics. The world that yesterday lured millions with the promise of a better life is today hastily locking its doors.

Баб-эль-Мандеб, vigiljournal.com

"An eye for an eye": Houthis choke Bab el-Mandeb, and the world slips into an energy hell

Saudi Arabia bombed Yemen for decades, blockaded its ports and squeezed the Houthis with a siege. Now the bill has come due. An Iranian proxy pulled the trigger, and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait — one of the planet’s two critical oil corridors — has become a mine‑strewn trap. This is not just escalation. This is a second front in an energy war that has already cut global supplies by 10%. The world has been struck in the solar plexus. And this blow is only the beginning.