politics

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the presidential runoff on October 25. Published results give him about 51.8% of valid votes to 48.2% for Flávio Bolsonaro, a margin of roughly 4.4 million votes. The president keeps his office, but his challenger has refused to concede and says he will seek to have the vote annulled.

The pendulum that swung left two decades ago has swung back to the right. Colombia and Peru chose right-wing presidents in June by fractions of a percentage point, and on Sunday Brazil will settle a runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. What is behind the turn? How does it resemble the "pink tide"? And what should the region expect?

Brazil: The October 25 Runoff

If you think the protests in Europe flared up by chance, you are mistaken. But there is no single hand on the remote control either. Who gains from the fires? Why did Washington deliver its diagnosis in advance? And what does Russian gas have to do with it?

What Was Actually Burning

A second front of the Iran war has opened on the Arabian Peninsula, and the tone there is set not by Saudi skyscrapers but by Houthi missiles. What is happening between Ansar Allah, the Yemeni government and Riyadh? What does it mean for Russians and for business? How long will it last, and who is responsible for what?

How the Truce Collapsed

The Republican Party has no collective leadership, but there is one person whose word carries more weight than anyone else's: Donald Trump. The party's headquarters is flush with cash and free of debt, and money flows through MAGA Inc. and the Senate fund. Where are decisions made? How are the limits circumvented? Is it true that the fight against the Democrats is moving to Europe?

The Charter and the Reality

Prospects for a change in the US approach to Ukraine received concrete confirmation over the past week: a diesel deal with Moscow, a speed limit on Starshield, and discussion of easing sanctions on tankers. What exactly happened? How much of a turning point is it? What does it give Russian business and the budget? Let us go through the facts.

What Happened This Week

No one runs the US Democratic Party alone. The headquarters is in debt, the money is handed out by the committees of Schumer and Jeffries, closed-door funds push candidates, and activists pull to the left. Where are decisions made? How does money get around the limits? And is it true that the party is placing its people in Europe?

Official Bodies: What the Charter Says

Pacific Link: Canada Launches a Pipeline to Stop Feeding the American Market

Canada has designated the Pacific Link pipeline a project of national interest: 1 million barrels per day, C$35.2–43.7 billion, and exports to Asia. What this means for the United States.

China has launched an anti-dumping investigation against the European Union. Beijing announced the probe on the eve of trade talks with the EU. Why is this happening now, which industries will be hit first, and how will it affect European business?

The Core of the Conflict: A Mirror Response or a Preemptive Strike

On October 4, Brazil will elect a president amid a high Selic policy rate of 13.75% and pressure on the real from a strong dollar. The outcome will determine whether the country remains within the orbit of U.S. economic policy or strengthens its multipolar course within BRICS. Which scenario is more likely, and what would it mean for the United States and Russia?

Macroeconomic Context: High Rates, Slowing Growth and Elections