China

Since mid-autumn, one picture has circulated in Moscow and Washington: Trump, Putin and Xi sit down together in Shenzhen and settle Ukraine's fate. Then Steinmeier went to Beijing and came home with an answer that did not match.

What did the German president actually hear? And why does Moscow want a format that the third participant does not?

What Steinmeier Said

Over the first ten months of 2026, countries in the region signed documents that pull them in different directions: toward Washington on security, toward Europe on trade, and toward Beijing on political dialogue. We have laid out the events by date and looked at what each one means in practice.

How the Year Unfolded

Lula da Silva's victory in Brazil has put an end to talk that all of Latin America was headed inevitably for right-wing leadership. But his re-election does not return the region to the old "pink tide." The right has gained ground in several countries, China has dug in across trade and infrastructure, the European Union has secured new treaty access to Mercosur markets, and Russia keeps significant but mostly sector-specific positions.

Latin America's freight map is being redrawn. China has gained its own gateway in Peru, Brazil is shifting grain to the north, and the Panama Canal is setting records while cutting slots. Which corridors are already running? Which are still being built? And what should shippers know?

Why the Map Is Changing

The region is not abandoning the dollar, but it is increasingly refusing to rely on it alone. Argentina keeps a yuan credit line, Brazil is building direct payment channels with China, and Cuba and Venezuela are hunting for workarounds. How does it all work? What do the numbers show? And how is Washington responding?

The Dollar Stays, but Not Alone

In 2026, Latin America became more than a raw-materials region. It is now a place where oil, sun, wind and critical minerals converge. Who is building, who is selling, and who is buying? Let's break it down by country and by player.

The Big Picture

Can Russia get access to TSMC chips? Formally, no, and the situation has not changed since 2022. What is stuck in Taiwan? What workarounds remain? What is being used instead? Let's take it step by step.

What Russia Actually Lost

Pacific Link: Canada Launches a Pipeline to Stop Feeding the American Market

Canada has designated the Pacific Link pipeline a project of national interest: 1 million barrels per day, C$35.2–43.7 billion, and exports to Asia. What this means for the United States.

China has launched an anti-dumping investigation against the European Union. Beijing announced the probe on the eve of trade talks with the EU. Why is this happening now, which industries will be hit first, and how will it affect European business?

The Core of the Conflict: A Mirror Response or a Preemptive Strike

Just five years ago, most experts greeted the idea of the Northern Sea Route as a serious alternative to the Suez Canal with an indulgent smile. The navigation window was too short, icebreaker escorts too expensive, and ice conditions too unpredictable for major global carriers to consider the Arctic route over the familiar southern path through Suez, even for a moment. Today, in autumn 2026, that same route supports a regular weekly container service between China and the United Kingdom, and cargo volumes are heading for an annual record.