Russia strikes Kyiv with ballistic missiles for the second time in a row
The attack, which used Zircon/Onyx missiles, Iskanders and 188 drones, mostly hit energy infrastructure in the Kyiv region. Strikes on the power grid a month before winter are clearly systematic.
US–Iran talks mediated by Qatar reach a deadlock
According to Axios, the parties are unwilling to make concessions on a compromise plan that would lift the blockade in exchange for limits on Iran's nuclear program. Trump may resume strikes after the November congressional elections. The diplomatic window has narrowed sharply amid mutual ultimatums.
Iran attacks four vessels in the Strait of Hormuz in two days
The escalation against shipping coincided with the collapse of the talks in Doha. The strait remains Tehran's main lever of pressure on global oil trade.
Britain suspects Iran of involvement in the incident at RAF Fairford
Prime Minister Burnham said that suspicions are growing after five people were detained near the base, where US aircraft are stationed. Tehran categorically denied any involvement. The Middle East conflict is increasingly spilling over onto the territory of America's European allies, supposedly.
US and Iran move to discussing guarantees for a settlement of the conflict
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi met with Qatari mediators in Doha to discuss a seven-day confidence-building plan. The signal contradicts other reports of a deadlock. The negotiating track remains extremely fragile and inconsistent.
Qatar warns of "unbearable" economic consequences of the US–Iran war
The emirate's Foreign Ministry stressed the growing pressure of the conflict on the global economy while continuing its mediation efforts between Washington and Tehran. Regional mediators are increasingly sounding the alarm as the war drags on.

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