Geopolitical Digest by Mikhail Azhgirevich for August 5, 2026

Russia/Ukraine: Massive Russian strike on Kyiv — air defense failed to down a single ballistic missile

According to Ukrainian data, 17 people were killed and dozens injured; the strikes hit logistics and storage facilities linked to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The attack was one of the most powerful in recent memory — the city's defenses proved helpless.

United States/Ukraine: Trump refuses Zelensky's request for Patriot missiles

The reason cited is a shortage of interceptors due to the US military campaign against Iran. The Middle East war is directly undermining Kyiv's ability to defend itself.

United States/Iran: US quietly lifts sanctions on the IRGC and Hezbollah, unfreezes $300 billion of Iranian assets

The decision was made amid a declared "attack on Iran," which appears contradictory given the ultimatums issued to Tehran. Public toughness and behind-the-scenes concessions are proceeding in parallel.

Houthis/Yemen/Saudi Arabia: Houthis continue attacks on Saudi tankers in the Red Sea

At least two vessels were attacked in a single day, bringing the total to eight attacks since July 22. Brent crude rose to $79.5, though further price increases remain uncertain.

Israel/Lebanon: Israeli military accuses Hezbollah of violating the ceasefire, launches strikes on southern Lebanon

Targeted strikes were carried out in response to alleged provocations. The fragile truce on the Lebanese border is once again coming apart at the seams.