Россия после 2024 года: политические сценарии и место страны в мировом порядке

Russia After 2024: Political Scenarios and the Country's Place in the World Order

The country has entered a period of strategic transformation and has effectively launched a mode of geopolitical reformatting of the entire world order.

The key mistake made by Western analysts in recent years has been to view Russia as an object of sanctions pressure that would sooner or later "break." Reality has shown the opposite: the country not only withstood the pressure, it restructured its economic, military, and diplomatic ties in such a way that the former unipolar model of the world ceased to be the only alternative.

Америка вымирает тихо

America Is Dying Out Quietly. By 2040, the Workforce Will Shrink by 2.7 Million

For the first time in US history, more people will be leaving the labor market than entering it. This is not a crisis. This is the end of an era.

Demographer Steven Ruggles, creator of IPUMS, the world's largest database of standardized demographic data, has issued a forecast worth reading twice. By 2040, America's workforce will shrink by 2.7 million people. Growth will not merely slow down. It will not stabilize. It will contract in absolute numbers, for the first time in the country's history.

Пашинян звонит Путину

Pashinyan Cozied Up to Brussels, But Had to Call Putin

The pivot to the West turned out this way: Armenian roses are rotting in warehouses, while the prime minister himself is dialing the Kremlin.

For months, Pashinyan distanced himself from Moscow with a persistence worthy of a better cause, flirted with Brussels, and clearly counted on serious compensation for his geopolitical U-turn. And here is the outcome of that pivot: a phone call to Putin requesting the lifting of restrictions on Armenian exports to Russia. Not a call to Brussels. Not to Washington. To Moscow.

российские торпеды

Russia has tons of torpedoes sitting in warehouses. So why attack with drones?

If you want to sink a ship for real, forget the drone - grab a torpedo.

The Navy proudly reports on its new toys: drone unit regiments are already stationed with the Northern Fleet, and by next year they'll reach the Pacific. Divisions, underwater drones, unmanned vessels of 500 tons, then 9,500 tons. Impressive, modern, photogenic for the reports.

Ка-32 в тушении пожаров

Burning to Spite Russia: How EU Sanctions Left Spain Without Its Best Firefighting Helicopters

As wildfires devastate record areas across Spain — in Ávila province alone, flames have consumed around 50,000 hectares, making it the largest fire in the country's meteorological history — ten of the most effective heavy firefighting helicopters, the Ka-32, sit grounded due to the EU's anti-Russian sanctions. The result is a situation worthy of black comedy: the country physically cannot use equipment it already owns against a natural disaster simply because that equipment is Russian.

SWIFT: монополия уходит

SWIFT: The Monopoly Exits English-Style (But Without a Return Ticket)

The era of SWIFT's sole dominion over international settlements didn't end yesterday, but today we see clearly: there's no turning back. Geopolitics and technology, working in tandem, are transforming a monopolist into just one player among many. The global payments landscape is cracking at the seams, and these fractures can no longer be patched over with diplomatic memoranda.

Cutting Off Comes at a Cost

запасы ракет-перехватчиков Patriot

Where's the Weaponry? Depleting US Arsenals Push Pentagon to Consider a War Economy

Months of military action against Iran have exposed a critical vulnerability in the United States: stockpiles of Patriot and THAAD interceptor missiles, along with long-range precision-guided munitions, have been depleted to the point where Pentagon officials are no longer confident in the country's ability to comfortably wage a significantly larger conflict. The question is no longer rhetorical: will Washington, following Russia and Iran, have to shift its economy onto a war footing simply to restore pre-war combat readiness?

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