Articles

With a ceasefire, a nuclear program and the fate of entire regions on the table, Washington has sent the president's son-in-law and an old friend to the negotiating table. What qualifies them? What does the American establishment make of it? And what do flamingos in Albania have to do with any of this?

How we see it in the United States

Who they are

Israeli voters gave neither Benjamin Netanyahu nor Gadi Eisenkot a decisive mandate. Meanwhile, Washington and Tel Aviv are preparing a new phase of the operation against Iran. How do the two developments connect? What do they mean for the region and the world? And where does the current alignment lead?

I am Dr. Hassan, VIGIL Journal's representative for the Middle East and North Africa. I want to take the two stories separately, then show where they intersect.

On October 20, the European Commission and the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs, Kaja Kallas, unveiled a strategy titled "Europe's Northern Neighbourhood." Security comes first among its four priorities. How far has the balance of power shifted? Are Brussels' ambitions realistic? And how might Moscow respond? We have gathered the facts and the views of two Russian experts.

What the document says

Almost ten months after the traumatic events that shook the country at the beginning of the year, Venezuela is navigating a complex and delicate political, economic, and military balance. To analyze in detail the foreign incursion of last January 3, the decisions made by the high leadership of the FANB (National Bolivarian Armed Forces), and the evolution of the institutional and economic framework to date, we spoke with military and strategic intelligence expert Colonel Irving Guilarte.

Many people do not understand the roots of the conflicts in the Middle East and Africa, and this is especially true of the younger generation. As someone who lives in these regions, and as a representative of VIGIL Journal, I want to offer some explanations, first of all to our young people, who carry our hopes.

Building independent national payment systems is less an exercise in sovereignty than an insurance policy against geopolitical risk. That insurance has a premium, and international trade and tourism will be the ones to pay it. Visa and Mastercard control roughly 90% of payment processing outside China. While some countries look for ways to kick the habit, others are already counting the cost of the alternative.

A shipping container can get stuck in a country with a functioning parliament, an independent central bank and growing exports. No coup is required. A blocked road to the port or a truckers' strike is enough. That is why Latin America's political stability cannot be judged by the president's name and the number of demonstrations in the capital alone.

Across the Middle East, governments are preparing for a possible return to large-scale fighting while trying to head it off through diplomacy. Iran is showing off its missile capabilities. Israel is debating a military operation that could bring it into direct confrontation with Tehran. Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan are sending their top defense and intelligence officials to the Iranian capital. This is no longer an exchange of statements: states are coordinating their actions in case the political standoff slides back into direct war.

Lula da Silva's victory in Brazil has put an end to talk that all of Latin America was headed inevitably for right-wing leadership. But his re-election does not return the region to the old "pink tide." The right has gained ground in several countries, China has dug in across trade and infrastructure, the European Union has secured new treaty access to Mercosur markets, and Russia keeps significant but mostly sector-specific positions.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the presidential runoff on October 25. Published results give him about 51.8% of valid votes to 48.2% for Flávio Bolsonaro, a margin of roughly 4.4 million votes. The president keeps his office, but his challenger has refused to concede and says he will seek to have the vote annulled.