Week of June 1, 2026

August as the Point of No Return: Who Pays for the War on Iran

Август как точка невозврата: кто платит за войну с Ираном

When the trading chief of the Middle East's largest oil company publicly names a specific month as a potential tipping point, that's not an analytical aside. It's a market signal: get ready. Philippe Khoury of ADNOC has warned that August could mark a sharp price spike if demand keeps rising and the supply crisis triggered by the war on Iran remains unresolved.

Shadow Fleet as the New Normal: Maritime Law Quietly Fades Into History

Теневой флот

The shadow fleet and maritime law appearing in the same sentence today is no coincidence. Qatar and the UAE — whose companies QatarEnergy and ADNOC account for roughly a fifth of global LNG exports — have begun switching off vessel tracking systems while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, effectively mirroring the tactics of Russia's shadow fleet.